https://www.outsideonline.com/2198726/did-airbnb-kill-mountain-town

I get the complexity. I get, that in my field, I could end up managing these. But it’s not complex…
Old time shares and rental vacation spots like Lahaina or Lake Tahoe, or areas of 2nd and 3rd homes, should have new zoning in low density areas. High density residential should avoid AirBNB permittals like the plague, except where it’s already fully converted (ie dead time shares).
To keep it simple, any residentially zoned spot should be residential, and not a small hotel. With appropriate controls and exceptions.
But allowing communities to become co-opted, if not destroyed, by speculating residential vacation management companies is a problem.
Mountain towns aside, I *HAVE TO IMAGINE* that even Boulder deals with this, seeing influx for football games, etc?  This is definitely why my coastal towns like Sausalito or Tiburon have banned them. Some say it was too late.
It’s pretty simple: regulation needs to catch up with the progress. Fast. Good luck, bureaucracy. We’re counting on you.
But here in Tiburon, our town council people who created the law banning them have been found to running their own illegal airbnb. So, self-interest and entitlement even erodes community from within, let alone the people who think they’re more important than everyone else.

Automotive fans will definitely end up, solely, as hobbyists. There’s two of us at this exact moment: people who love driving, and people who rather be on their phones. The latter segment is huge, and it’s going to redefine the auto industry, insurance industry, and our infrastructure.

The people who rather be driven will cause the whole market to break into autonomous fleets of cars, and then people like me, who love cars and want to drive (and presumably can afford the insurance of the future) *may* be allowed, in certain areas or lanes. The issue is if we can afford driving, from a multitude of perspectives. Gas will likely skyrocket? If not, insurance would be crazy. And the below won’t happen all at once, and legislation of how autonomous cars will behave and interact with human drivers will be necessary. But it’s already happening, and as they say, “The future’s already here, it’s just not evenly distributed”.

Driverless cars, added into a burgeoning rental economy (stop calling it sharing. Just…. just stop it), will have incredible impacts on society and culture.  I think most disruption is myth, and agree the marketing of the “sharing economy” sounds better as “disaster capitalism”, but actual disruption applies here, for sure.

Car ownership has declined.

Ownership continues to decline.

Car companies face massive decrease in production levels.

Car companies invest everything in driverless cars to compete, regardless of known outcome. Ride sharing partnerships form with automakers.

Combine a reduction of ownership and increased efficiency of on demand, driverless cars devastates majority of automotive industry.

30-40% manufacturers bought out, or out of business in 15 years.

Surviving companies pitted in battle of 3 markets: low, mid range, and luxury.

low and mid range driverless cars become a utility and commodity. People don’t buy these, companies and governments do. These are fleets of driverless Ubers and Lyfts.

Urban and residential parking collapses.…..

States / Cities / communities run on demand fleets as public transportation both residential and commercial to make up for the lost revenues from parking enforcement and parking lots.

Parking lots become charging hubs for fleets. Many become unused.

Public Transportation infrastructure *must* be improved.

Less need for parking structures frees up real estate. The below article mentions lowering of property prices as a result…. think of the value of a garage in a city like New York or San Francisco… all those revenues go away, all those spaces become something else.

Autonomous automobiles abide laws– reduction of traffic policing and law, reduction of courts and legal bureaucracy, reduction of prison sentences due to less drunk convictions.

Reduction of revenues of gas taxes.

Collapse of parking meter revenue.

Reductions of parking lot fees and income at hotels, or restaurants, etc.

Reduction of auto service as electrics require less maintenance,

utter destruction of body shop and car repair business, except for branches falling, etc.

As cars end up electric, even further dismantling of auto infrastructure and service.

Car washes go away because they become internally corporatized, ie the fleets have their own car wash, and people won’t cars. Water restrictions to boot.

Fuel industry alters drastically. Many gas stations close.

All commercial and private driving jobs disappear, as it will be too expensive to employ humans from a liability perspective. Trucking, limos, cabs, auto dealers, etc.

Many stop lights, street lights, and other city utilities are pointless as cars can see in the dark.

Luxury market of driverless owned cars flourishes. They become luxury apartments on wheels, altering the need to live in one place, own/rent city property.

Insurance Companies crater, comparatively (see below link).

https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/ypwdxw/driverless-cars-are-going-to-kill-insurance-companies

I wish someone would do a competent impact report on this.

But one must assume existing infrastructure and car drivers will be eased into driving with driverless vehicles, and it isn’t an “all or nothing” mentality….

new technology always coexists, often harmoniously, with existing technology.

But times are a changin’!

Think of being in one of these at an intersection… no stop lights, no visible communication. I would lose my mind.

I have a feeling it’s going to be so rapid, it will become relatively unremarkable and somewhat mundane within a few years. The economic disruptions will start within about a year.

https://www.curbed.com/2016/8/31/12691516/self-driving-bus-vehicles-finland-helsinki-transportation self driving buses on the road in Helsinki

Uber is in Pittsburgh w/ Volvos https://www.techrepublic.com/article/ubers-driverless-rides-in-pittsburgh-whats-happening-and-what-it-means/

Taxis are in Singapore https://www.reuters.com/article/us-autos-selfdriving-singapore-idUSKCN1100ZG

Driverless taxi’s problem: humans, and how to train them https://www.bbc.com/autos/story/20160829-driverless-taxis-human-problem

Otto aggressively moving towards automated Big Rigs, first one in Nevada https://www.trucks.com/2016/08/16/otto-autonomous-truck-tech/

This is basically verbatim copy/paste from a Nextdoor question, and my answer, to a local looking for advice. Remember years ago when we were cautious of anyone using the word “guru” or “ninja”, etc?

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